The knife

  1. If the turnout rate exceeds 50% and there are about 80% NO votes then Viktor will get Crocodile Dundee’s knife.
  2. If the turnout rate is below 50% and about 80%  of the votes say NO to the forced migrant EU quota  then Viktor will get the knife of “the kids having fun”.


Update:   It looks like he got only a big sharp kitchen knife. The referendum had a 43.31% turnout rate and the validity threshold is 50%. This means the referendum result is not legally binding for the Hungarian Parliament. However it was a “conclusive referendum” because 98.32% (yes!)  of the valid votes said NO.  In comparison, the  turnout was 45.62% on the referendum on Hungary’s EU membership in 2003 and 84% approved.  PM Orbán’s stance on the EU migration policies were supported by more than three million votes, that is a one million more than how many voted for his party on the last general elections in 2014. This means that the overwhelming majority of the politically active Hungarian voters reject the migration policies of the EU, that is their attempts to legalize illegal migration from the Middle East and Africa into Europe, and they support Orbán’s fight.



Do you want to allow the European Union …

to mandate the resettlement of non-Hungarian citizens to Hungary without the approval of the Hungarian National Assembly?





Wikipedia article



Fifteen years later


Today is the 15th anniversary of the terror attacks on the USA.  What were the consequences of that fatal day most people remember?  Yes, I also remember well that the 11th of September, 2001 was a Tuesday and what I was doing that day.


That Tuesday  has ended Fukuyama’s “liberal democracies equal to the end of history” vision indisputably. It was the first big crack in Pax Americana.  The USA was shocked to the core. The world was shocked, too. What would the giant do after the slap in the face?  Well, the “War on Terror” could have been described quite well by the fundamental Hollywood revenge topos.  It resulted in the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq and it resulted in the “Arab spring” when the still shaken superpower USA got rid of the Middle Eastern dictators  in the name of “democracy”…  But these Arab dictators  were actually the guardians of stability in a region where liberal democracy simply could never work in lack of basic cultural and historic preconditions.  Eventually 9/11 resulted in the bloodshed and anarchy we can witness today in the Middle East.

And, after years of anarchy and bloodshed, the population in the Middle East has decided (with lots of help and nudges from George Soros and Co., the puppet master of a possible USA president!) to go on a European hijra.  And now we have terror in the streets of Europe.

And the disappearance of the Middle Eastern cordon sanitaire  has opened up Europe to the depths of Black Africa, too.  Of course, without PC liberalism, perhaps Europe could have withstood the waves from 9/11… But that’s another topic which I have written about several times.

The 2026 Interfaith Handicap

I cannot make up my mind if I should bet on No. 4 or No. 5.

ECAW's blog


1. Harmonious Co-existence
Widely fancied among those in a position to gamble with our grandchildren’s future but the form book holds out little hope – 50 to 1

2. Sensible Curbs
Obviously an outsider but worth a small punt if things get bad enough and obvious enough early enough – 20 to 1

3. Long-term uneasy Stand-off
Separately controlled areas under British or Sharia law – 5 to 1

4. Civil War
The red horse. The worst of all options, apart from No. 5 obviously – 2 to 1

5. Eventual Swamping and Subjugation
The bookies’ favourite – Evens

6. Black Swan Event
Nuclear exchange in the Middle-East, global economic collapse, return of the Mahdi, intervention by aliens etc – 5 to 1

7. Islamic Reformation – Withdrawn after a stewards’ inspection revealed it to be only a pantomime horse.

Place your bets now.

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Is Western and Northern Europe beyond hope?

I’m reading today’s news from WN Europe.

  • The West Midlands Police, one of the UK’s largest polices,  are considering to allow their policewomen to wear a  full-face covering Muslim headsack called “burka’ on the job, as they drive to “increase the representation of BAME (Black, Asian, and minority ethnic) officers to 30 per cent”.  Chief Constable David Thompson has justified the idea with “cultural sensitivity”.  The hijab, which is a Muslim scarf to cover only the head and neck, has been part of the London Metropolitan police force’s uniform for more than ten years and it has been introduced by many other UK forces since, including WMP, and most recently in Scotland,  this June.



  • An Iraqi brother and sister, who emigrated to the UK with their family as asylum seekers and who were handed a council house in central London worth around £1.3 million, have both been charged with terror-related offences.

And here’s a piece of news from PC madhouse Sweden as well:

  • An interpreter has been suspended from duty by the Swedish Migration Board after she made a remark that many Arab migrants lie about their background to boost their chance of getting asylum and higher welfare payments. That’s a proven fact, of course.

Then there are today’s news from France.

  • Three women have been arrested  in Paris near Notre Dame cathedral. They had been planning an attack on a Paris railway station.  One of them stabbed a police officer with a knife.
  • Then two French women have been assaulted  and their husbands severely beaten, as their children  watched!, on the French Riviera after a gang of young Muslims called the women “whores” because the women were wearing shorts.
  • A French mayor has been reported to the police for so-called “hate crime” by left-liberal “social justice warriors” because he cited  a 1959 de Gaulle speech:

It is very good that there are yellow French, black French, brown French. They show that France is open to all races and has a universal vocation. But [it is good] on condition that they remain a small minority. Otherwise, France would no longer be France. We are still primarily a European people of the white race, Greek and Latin culture, and the Christian religion. Do you think the French body politic can absorb ten million Muslims, who tomorrow will be twenty million, after tomorrow forty? If we integrated, if all the Arabs and Berbers of Algeria were considered French, would you prevent them to settle in France, where the standard of living is so much higher? My village would no longer be called Colombey-The-Two-Churches but Colombey-The-Two-Mosques.

Similar news could be found from Western and Northern Europe by the dozens each day.  It looks like now the lethal mental disease of ‘politically correct liberalism’  manifests itself in newer and newer heights of insanity in WN Europe.

Prime Minister Orbán was awarded the “Man of the Year” award on Poland’s prestigious Krynica Economic Forum a few days ago. He said that

Twenty years ago young Europeans were always told that if they complete their studies, respect the laws and work diligently then they can get further in life than their parents had. But young people in most of the old EU member states would laugh at this idea today. This is still true in Central Europe, so Central Europe is the home of the “European dream” now.

Regarding the topic of migration, Orbán said that

the European countries should help those in need but at the same time they should preserve their own identities… The root cause of the migration crisis is that Europe is currently wealthy but weak. … It had to be made clear that there is a legal process that needs to be followed if one wants to enter Europe. If Europe does not make this clear it will lose everything it has worked for and it will be overrun by another community that has a stronger identity. Many overestimate the impact multiculturalism has on integration and underestimate migrants’ ability to preserve their own identities.

and, most importantly, he added that

Europe needs deep changes. These changes must be rooted in a cultural counter-revolution.

Nothing short of that will save WN Europe!  Politically correct liberalism must be eradicated from politics, media and cultural life.


Orbán’s lecture on the 27th Summer Open University in Transylvania

Thank you for Bill Still  for the English-subtitled video. Please check out his website.

The video starts playing where, as the first (and so far only?) incumbent leader in the world, he endorsed US Presidential Candidate Donald Trump.
However it’s highly recommended to watch the lecture in full!

Hungary to build second line of border defence

Prime minister Viktor Orbán said in this regular radio interview  today that  Hungary is going to build a new, “massive, serious defense system” on its Southern borders to defend against a possible surge in the number of migrants.  “The fortified barrier will be able to stop several hundreds of thousands of people if, for example, Turkey allows the millions of migrants to leave for Western Europe.”

He suggested that Austria should help defending the Serbian-Hungarian border, or preferably the Macedonian-Greek border, together with the other Central European countries, instead of  focussing on the Austrian-Hungarian border.

The Hungarian government announced last week that they will employ 3000 more policemen to defend the border. The recruitment will start in September and, after their fast track training, they will be deployed already next spring.

After the morning interview, PM Orbán left for Warsaw where he and other V4 leaders will meet German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

The prime minister said that “people  who claim there’s no connection between the migration and terrorism either haven’t the foggiest or they try to conceals clear-cut facts for some reason.  Terrorism has increased in Europe because hundreds of thousands uncontrolled migrants appeared places where the Western world is regarded enemy. There’s a semi-war situation in Europe and you cannot risk people’s safety under such circumstances”.

Mr. Orbán also said that the European leaders should reject the forced migrant quota idea of the Brussels bureaucrats. The V4 leaders want change and the question is if Angela Merkel would be a partner to V4 this afternoon.  He said that the result of the meeting hangs in the balance.  There are several issues where the viewpoints are not known. “I myself haven’t unfolded all my cards either”.

“The October 2 referendum will mean that a European nation won’t accept the decision of the Brussels bureaucrats. So that will not result in a negotiating position.  That will result in a final, solid Hungarian stance. This may rally many other countries to Hungary’s side as well”, he added.




This is the first part of a five part post dealing with Czech republic: sections on Poland, Slovakia and very briefly on Hungary (see next paragraph) follow and then a short round-up and some personal notes. Also, let me just point out that this post is very much related to Leto’s August issue on Hungary’s Parliament which I did not see until well into my post. I will deal with Hungary in a few lines as Leto has done a far more competent job than I, but I suggest you read the all the posts together. In many ways my posts could have been a massive comment to Leto’s offering rather than a new post.

Czech Republic

Let’s look at other nations in Central Europe – Mittel-Europa if you will – in alphabetical order. Often forgotten is the velvet divorce of 1993 when Czechoslovakia split, totally amicably into 2 sovereign nations. This has had the following legacy. First two sovereign nations that are smaller and therefore more inclined to underline their sovereignty, over and above the natural tendency of those other nations gnawed out of existence by the Hapsburg, Russian (or Soviet) and Prusso-Germanic empires to reassert their identity, national sovereignty and communal validity. The last time they did this was the Dubcek, Svoboda inspired ‘spring’of 1968 when the nations were still the joined Czechoslovakia. Czechs and Slovaks are working more and more together. The languages are similar.

I have a daughter and family in Bratislava and one grandson at Prague uni.. He tells me in some conversations the language difference is like British English to USA English, in other topics more like Portuguese to Italian and very occasionally like French to Rumanian. These two nations compete in a good healthy fashion, yet cooperate and the cooperation is facilitated by the Visegrad alliance. The annual chair changes each July and is currently Poland.  Visegrad provides more information on the cooperation, notably nuclear energy, fiscal reserves, defence and security cohesion, research and development sharing through the IVF.  This regional cooperation works very well and the links to other regions – Nordic (Denmark, Finland, Norway, Sweden) and Benelux (Belgium, Nederland, Luxembourg) is reaping more benefit than individual interactions with Brussels, according to many sources in the V4 and all without the sovereignty drain or regulation encumbrance. There are also many who view the Czech and Slovak economies (except the somewhat trailing eastern Slovak Kosice and Presov region) as being a more advanced market economy with a competitive manufacturing and engineering services base than either Poland or Hungary. These views have rapidly modified and improved over the years as most ‘think-tanks’ of the 1990-2005 period reckoned on at least a twenty year hiatus to complete moves to a market economy and genuine popular democracy. It has been shown to be otherwise. In the current political aura of friction and for historic reasons mentioned above Czech republic has asked the democracy question and demanded discussion on the deficit and accountability of the EU regularly since 2009. President Klaus who asked the questions first now runs the Klaus Institute which has become a focal point for groups who believe the EU to be dysfunctional and/or anti-democratic –  but this could never be considered a very extreme or angry group, although Verhofstadt calls them fascists.

Here is Vaclav Klaus asking reasonable questions of EU Parliament:

Listen to the derision from the bigots in the Parliament and here is his only defence from the Parliament floor:

How is the Czech Republic governed?  Well, as in most of Europe and even in the UK now since 2010 a coalition, often but not always multi-party, is the norm. This often means quite weak government perpetually hinging policy on party compromise. The Czech system has a Senate of popularly elected 81 seats, very much modelled on the US with 6 year terms and 1/3 for re-election every 2 years. The senate is not popular, election turnout is almost derisory and there is talk of doing away with it, or at least reducing it to 3 members for each of 14 provinces – 42 members. It is after all very largely an amendment chamber and only has the right to initiate legislation that is directly related to the constitution. The deputies chamber consists of 200 seats, and a term of 4 years. Since the 2013 scandals power is now a coalition between the CSSD – a social democrat party with 50 seats, a completely new and fairly populist party, but centrist called ANO11 with 47 seats and a nationalist party – KDU-SL with 14 seats, thus a small majority of 111. CSSD leader, a fairly anodyne pro-EU guy called Sobotka, is the PM but his party is outnumbered in the coalition and the Czech president Zeman who has dissolution powers is moving more and more into the ANO11 posture. So CSSD under some populist pressure. Czech issues and accords with the EU Accords a) There is one abiding EU accord and that is agreement, especially from Sobotka on the formation of an EU army. He sees on conflict with NATO and is probably supporting the EU army, without UK not a very strong force, as an encouragement to NATO to increase anti-Russia vigilance and security. No EU army can be effective for a decade.


  •  The lack of democracy, accountability and the usual checks and balances between the legislative, executive and judiciary. Appointment and anointment must stop. Czech republic suggested a Senate for the EU with popularly elected equal representation by member with the mandate of safeguarding states’ rights and providing legislative oversight. The model was the US Senate which in turn had been adopted by Czech republic. ‘Not needed’, Senate or any other mechanism was the EU’s obdurate dogmatic reply.
  • Perpetual hassling to join the Euro. The EU wants Czech republic to sacrifice the Koruna, about 28 to the euro. The EU also tried to manoeuvre V3 (Slovakia is in the eurozone) into the 5 year rule. This was a new rule of 2010 that said members must move to the Euro unless treaty-exempted within 5 years of joining. The case went to ECJ and V3 won. Next the lever being used was how well neighbour Slovakia had done but Slovakia is now in gentle, but accelerating retraction, so that argument has fallen away. The latest much more subtle and nasty lever is reducing EU funding. There are several interconnected aspects to this reduction. First all the tendering and contract procedures have been prolonged, especially on hanging projects where delays render structures and implementations from previous tasks useless and only their redoing at local cost permits the project to continue. Second the EU will now only subsidize jointly funded projects. Every euro must be met with at least one Koruna, sometimes the ratio is 1 Euro to 2 Koruna and of course the EU sets the exchange rate. Some of these necessary projects where delay costs massively are in a 1:3 euro to Koruna ratio and the Koruna is 40, not 28 to the euro. This is nothing more than gouging.  More on the funding lever. To give an idea of the projects the EU originally agreed to, but now sabotage for their own imperial will. I suppose in Prague they speak of EU defenestration. The situation would be far worse if direct funding from the Norway and Switzerland special EU deal was not there. Czech use these funds to avert infra-structure disaster –  One major incident is the Prague ring road completion of which leaving unprotected, no fund to pour concrete over metal enfilades before winter. The other is the deliberate delay on the main import/export goods route from Prague to Breslau – Wroclaw in Poland.
  • Migration quotas. Now here there is a clear resistance to the imposition of a quota as a result of a non-existent EU policy of discouragement, border control, registration and standard asylum processes. Czech republic has very strongly critical views of EU migration policy failure. Criticism is responded to with more and more aggression from Brussels.

Few facts on Czech republic: Population of 11 million people, 88% declare no religion: 10% Catholicism. High income economy – 67% of EU average. Energy exporter and a high quality techno-manufacturing economy with a very strong private sector.

Happy 1016th birthday, Hungary!

It’s St. Stephen‘s day today.  As most readers would know, people celebrate their “nameday” in Central and Eastern Europe and this is the nameday of our founding king, St. Stephen I. There are all sort of programs today: concerts or

Augusztus 20. - Mesterségek ünnepe

the traditional Artisans’ Fair in Buda Castle

Then there will be the fireworks as well tonight, of course.


From a political point of view,  cabinet minister János Lázár, Prime Minister Orbán’s right-hand man, delivered a remarkable speech this morning:

Hungary has never renounced her sovereignty. An independent Christian state is St. Stephen’s heritage. The European Union is not a many century old political union, it’s a pilot project.  Today’s unelected European leaders with zero legitimacy try to tweak the basic treaties of the EU in stealth mode to their liking.  The EU is stricken by financial crises, Brexit and the migration crisis.  Brussels tries to sweep the chief problem, that is the diminishing prestige of the EU and the uncontrolled millions knocking on the gates, under the carpet with their mandatory migrant quota idea. Hungary’s preserving her sovereignty serves the interests of the European community, too.

If needed then we’ll defend Europe even from herself. Hungary will not let down those European citizens who are dissatisfied with Brussels. It’s not the idea, it’s the practice of  the European Union what is wrong.

There will be an EU summit on the migration crisis and Brexit in the capital of V4 country Slovakia ( Pozsony, Bratislava) in September.  We live in interesting times.

The Second Amendment and statistics

The “freedom to carry guns”, that is the Second Amendment, the holy cow of US politics,  is a pet topic for most Internet posters in the USA.  Among others, a bog standard argument of theirs is that “firearms actually reduce violence because the criminals and terrorists may expect to be shot by law abiding citizens”.  If one reads the news about the almost daily mass shootings in the USA then it’s quite obvious that this argument doesn’t hold much water.  Though the readers should feel free to quote documented examples in the comments section where such citizen heroism actually happened!


Gun porn from Texas, USA

Since I do like numbers, now let’s see some statistics about deaths caused by firearms.

The firearm-related death rate per 100,000 population per year in the USA  is 10.54

Out of these,  the rate is 3.43 for for homicides and it’s 6.69 for suicides.

That’s the highest figure (by far) anywhere in the developed world!  Even neighbouring, infamously violent, third world country Mexico is doing better than the USA in this regard because their overall gun-related death rate is “only”  7.64. However the Mexicans do use their guns to kill other people and not to kill themselves. The homicides rate in Mexico is 6.34 and it is only 0.44 for suicides.

Now let’s compare this to the situation in the UK where there’s strict gun control. The firearm-related death rate per 100,000 population per year in the UK is 0.23. Yes, that’s 46 times less than in the USA. The rate for homicides in the UK:  0.06.   That’s 57 times less than in the USA. The figure is  0.15 for suicides, that is 45 times less than for the USA.

These statistical figures are practically the same in Hungary as in the UK and our gun laws are also very similar to the ones in the UK. (Though,  unlike in the UK, all our police are armed).

For comparison, the overall firearm-related homicide rate is well below 1.0 in each and every European country (with the notable exceptions of Montenegro and Cyprus).

It’s another common argument among the American “Second Amendment” Internet forum warriors (and among the “Second Amendment” journalists, aka gun salesmen)  that “the USA would produce similar gun-death rates as Europe without the African Americans”. Let’s investigate this claim finally.

According to the FBI, “Of the offenders for whom race was known, 53.1 percent were black, 44.6 percent were white, and 2.3 percent were of other races”

Blacks make up 12.6 % of the population in the USA and Whites make up 72.4 %.  The total population of the USA is 309 millions.  So out of 10600 murders, say, 5000 murders are committed by Blacks. So if we removed them from the statistics altogether then 2.1 (5,600*100,000/(309,000,000*(1.0-0.126)) would be the murder rate figure in the USA instead of 3.43.

This figure is still a lot higher than the rate in nearly all European countries (with the sole exception of Balkanian Montenegro where the rate is 2.42.)

To cap it off, here is one more piece of information: As of today,  411 people have been shot in the iconic “gangster city” Chicago this year so far.  The total number of homicides was 454.   Yes, 90% of murders were committed with firearms. It’s so much easier to kill someone with a gun than with a knife.


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