Public trust growth in government largest by far in Hungary

The global left-lib media, the left-liberals/socialists abroad and in Hungary have been, and are, crying rivers about “the collapse of democracy in Hungary”, dictatorship, what have you.

Today I’ve found some informative infographics  here from Eurobarometer which, at least for me,  doesn’t seem to confirm these evergreen charges against the Orbán government. (Leftlibs are welcome to try to explain these data away in the comment section.)

Public trust in government

Gyurcsány‘s left-liberal coalition (Hungarian Socialist Party, MSZP and Alliance of Free Democrats. SZDSZ) government changed their prime minister in 2009 and Orbán‘s conservative-Christian democrat (Fidesz and KNDP) government coalition swept  into power on the 2010 elections with a supermajority (and  they kept it in 2014)

This is how much people trusted their government in the October of 2007 (before the economic crisis) throughout Europe:

Public trust in governments

October, 2007

And this is six years later:

 

Public trust

November, 2013

During the six year period 2007-2013, the biggest loss of trust in the national governments occurred in Spain (a whopping 40 percent decrease) and the biggest gain occurred in Hungary (a ten percent increase).

It’s edifying, isn’t it?

 

Political cowardice or wisdom?

The new monument dedicated to the memory of all victims of Hungary’s occupation by Nazi Germany in 1944, next to the Soviet monument in front of the US embassy which commemorates Hungary’s Soviet occupation in 1945 was yesterday finished… There has been an ongoing hysteria campaign against it for months, with global media support, and its completion (originally scheduled on March the 19th, the day of the Nazi occupation)  has been delayed several times.  Today the government has announced that ,with regard to the ongoing postcommunist (“left liberal”)/Jewish hysteria campaign, the monument will not be unveiled.   The  scum, a few dozen activists of MSZP, Bajnai’s and Gyurcsány‘s parties and some “independent” Holocaust-industry workers, which gathered yesterday to demonstrate against the monument threw eggs and yoghurt at the monument.

 

 

I understand the government wants to avoid unnecessary confrontations but   I’m deeply disappointed. This bad  compromise shouldn’t have been made.  The government shouldn’t have given in to these bullies.    They should have called for people’s support. I’m pretty sure a 100+ thousand strong crowd would have gathered easily even in this unbearably hot weather to unveil the monument. (It’s over 30 C here now).

‘Roma crime’ is the left-lib parlance for Jobbik-phrase ‘Gypsy crime’

Perhaps I don’t need to introduce Ferenc Gyurcsány, the prime minister of the postcommunist-leftlib MSZPSZDSZ coalition between 2004 and 2009.  You know the one who admitted to his comrades-in-sin behind closed doors in 2006 that MSZP-SZDSZ “lied  night and day and did nothing” (with the active help of the European Commission) in order to win the elections. When they did win and Gyurcsány’s secret obscene speech was leaked, huge crows protested for his resignation and new elections.  Instead of that Gyurcsány had the police shoot protestors in the eye, beat many people to half-dead … while those very human pressure groups of some particular rights (Amnesty International, TASZ, Helsinki Committee, etc. ) kept a low profile. Oh, well,  then Hungary was a democracy which Freedom House ranked higher than today’s Hungary when it’s the left-lib protesters who beat up each other and the police only investigates…  Here is the story:

Albert Pásztor, the police chief of Miskolc in 2009,  held a press conference on the 30th of January, 2009.  Miskolc is an industrial city in Northern Hungary, where Gypsies constitute a high proportion of the population, and crime rates are much higher than elsewhere. Pásztor said in the press conference that a particular kind of street mugging is committed by Gypsies only and he added “cohabitation is not possible with our minority citizens. Yes, that’s it.”     Gyurcsány, who was still PM at that time,  rushed to hold a press conference and he theatrically announced he had ordered the police minister to fire Pásztor for his “racist hate speech”.   There was a local demonstration in Miskolc for Pásztor… with the participation  the local (Miskolc)  MSZP organization, that is Gyurcsány’s party then.

Jobbik was rising strongly and steadily in the beginning of 2009 and one of their main slogans was “combatting ‘cigánybűnözés’ (Gypsy-crime).   “No state employee is allowed to speak of ‘cigánybűnözés'”, Gyurcsány roared in February, 2009 on his press conference.   His exact words were: “this is not simply outrageous. This is sickening.”  He was forced to resign two months later and his economic minister Gordon Bajnai was made PM.

Fidesz won their first landslide victory a year later.  Gyurcsány left MSZP soon, after a lot of bickering, and he established his own party called “Democratic Coalition“.  (They are democratic because they call themselves “democrats” in each second sentence they utter and they call the right wing dictatoric, Fascist, anti-Semitic, racist and what-have-you.)  The major political theme of Gyurcsány’s “left-liberal” party is  anti-racism, fighting for LBGT and  Roma rights, etc.
Fidesz made the penal laws stricter after 2010 and they reinforced the police, too.  They also introduced “public work” for the poor and unskilled, that is basically people are made to work for their benefits, but crime is still a problem in a lot of places, including Miskolc.  Yes, poor, unskilled Gypsies, a lot of them living in slums, commit a lot of crime in Miskolc.

Now, after the second landslide victory of Fidesz in the general elections and before the local elections due to be held in October,  MSZP and Gyurcsány’s party nominated the very same ex-policeman for Miskolc’s mayor whom they fired so theatrically in 2009.

Amnesty International, TASZ, Helsinki Committee, etc.  keep a low profile about this move…

Today, five years later, these are Gyurcsány’s words about Pásztor: “I see the whole of the man rather than those particular words of his.”   Moreover the vice president of Gyurcsány’s small extremist “left-lib” party, Mátyás Eörsi was talking about “Roma-crime” (romabűnözés) last week in an interview on the left-liberal TV channel ATV.    This former SZDSZ politician has always been… er, very, very vocal about racism like discrimination against the Roma… Though, to tell the truth, his real speciality is accusing people of anti-Semitism… (he’s  Jewish)

The local organization of ex-MSZP PM Bajnai’s Együtt-PM, another splinter party of MSZP founded after 2010, also supported running Pásztor for Miskolc mayor. However the national leadership did not.  Márton Gulyás, the NGO leader who recently blurted out that George Soros is financing anti-government political demonstrations via the so-called “Norwegian Civil Fund”, is closely related to Együtt-PM.   He turned up at Gyurcsány’s political rally on Saturday (advertised as “The day of resistance” ) and he held a sign protesting Pásztor’s mayor candidacy and the phrase “Roma crime”.   Gyurcsány’s fans promptly destroyed his sign and they also beat him during the speech of Ágnes Kunhalmi, who is .. surprise, surprise… the Budapest leader of MSZP, that is Gyurcsány’s ex-party.  Later Gyurcsány’s democrats threw burning cigarette stubs at Gulyás.

Tonight Gyurcsány’s “Demokratikus Koalíció” made a press release demanding to know if “Gulyás’ provocation occured in his capacity as a civil political activist or if he acted as an employee of Együtt-PM, with the full knowledge of his party leadership”.

A cup of nice coffee for me, please. 🙂

PS: I expect to see this story in the Western media under titles like “Fascist demonstrators attack human rights activist in Hungary” 😀

After the EP elections

The EP elections have been held and they changed the political landscape in Europe… and, to a smaller degree, in Hungary, too. So let’s study the results from that large  sample survey  a bit.   The EP election was purely list-based, with a five percent threshold,  the same rules applied as in other EU countries, so the postcommie left-liberals shouldn’t  really whine about unfair election rules, gerrymandering, disproportionality in the election system, what have you.  (Well, they do.)

The voter turnout in Hungary was lower than in 2009 but this is not much of a surprise:  Hungary had general elections in April.  Besides people know it very well in Hungary, too, that Europe’s decision makers are elected in the national elections.  The Eurocrats in Brussels should get this message at last!  The turnout was still almost 30 percents and that’s quite high compared to 13%, the voter turnout Slovakia, our northern neighbour produced…

First and foremost, let’s note that Fidesz won another landslide victory and the poll result I quoted  was about right for Fidesz.   Fidesz has increased their support to 51.5% in the EP elections from 46% in the general elections and Fidesz was the only Hungarian party which got a higher share of votes than on the 6th of April.  What does this entail for Fidesz and Hungary?  It’s certainly a strong reinforcement for PM Orbán in his European policies.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán said already before the election,  in a last minute interview on Saturday, that  “he will not support Jean-Claude Juncker‘s bid to become president of the European Commission even if the centre-right European People’s Party (EPP) wins the European elections”.   Orbán became the first EPP leader to publicly break ranks on the issue but it has turned out quickly  he has the support of British Prime Minister David Cameron.  Orbán and Cameron share anti-federalist views concerning the future of EU and Junckers clearly doesn’t.     I think this event signals that Orbán  is becoming a significant player in the European political arena. BTW, let’s also remember what Statfor CEO George Friedman wrote about  Orbán’s balancing act.

 

The distribution of the cast votes

The far-right party Jobbik came second. (Let’s remember that Marine Le Pen’s National Front won in France!)  However they actually lost voter support:  they got only 15% after  20% of the votes in the national elections.

No doubt the biggest impact of the election is on the postcommunist side.  MSZP came only third, they gained only two seats and they actually came in the fourth place in Budapest (which is the most a leftist/left-liberal place in Hungary)!  DK, ex-Socialist PM Gyurcsány’s extremist left-lib party, and Együtt-PM, ex-Socialist PM Bajnai’s left-lib party almost got as many as votes as MSZP.  Gyurcsány is making a comeback on the left-lib dunghill…  This really seems to be a death blow to MSZP, chairman Mesterházy (and then the whole leadership!) unexpectedly resigned a few days after the EP election.

Bajnai was invited to the Bilderberg-table in Denmark yesterday but the awkward political jester,  Gyurcsány seems to be swooping down on dying MSZP.  We’re going to see much blood on the left-lib political stage in the upcoming months.  The local elections will be held in October.

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The Speaker speaks out

László Kövér, a founding member of Fidesz, who has been the Speaker of Parliament  since 2010 and he’s also the chairman of the Board of Fidesz, and probably he’ll continue to be the Speaker, gave an interview to a left-lib newsportal in January, that is a few months before the recent elections. Mr. Kövér is a very outspoken and a very anti-Communist, anti-leftlib politician.  Because of this, he’s my favourite politician in Fidesz besides prime minister Orbán.

Kövér’s political stance, as showcased in the below excerpt, definitely strengthens my commitment to be a Fidesz-supporter.  Let me translate a part of the interview which, I believe, will help my English-speaking, non-Hungarian readers understand  a couple of things about Hungary’s politics.  Since the Hungarian voters have confirmed that they support this direction  by  giving Fidesz another (hard-to-believe) supermajority in the recent elections,  it’s a safe bet  these policies of Hungary won’t change fundamentally at least until 2018.

 

László Kövér, the Speaker of Parliament

 

The last four years has been all about Hungary’s “freedom fight”. Whose decision was that? 

One could safely say  this was a collective decision by the Fidesz presidency board.

When  Viktor Orbán came home ashamed from Brussels in 2010 after the Fidesz-government was formed  and when he announced  in the Fidesz board meeting that  EU Commission President Barrosso wouldn’t allow to increase the Hungarian budget deficit despite the requests of Fidesz then who shouted “hey, guys, let’s make war on the EU!” ? 

I’ve got no idea and that’s irrelevant anyway.  This followed evidently from the events that it was a question of life or death if we could re-gain independent political decision making or we’d dance to the tune of Brussels for four years.  Those ones who had been playing up with (ex-Socialist prime ministers) Gyurcsány and Bajnai, those who knew exactly that the 2010 budget was built on a huge lie, well, those people brought us to book for the lies of  their cronies.  On one hand that was blood-boiling, on the other hand it was evident if we continued with the endless austerity measures then the country wouldn’t recover from the awful economic situation we had, only  Fidesz would lose credibility for a long time and nothing would change for the better.  So there was really no other way than charging forward.

Why did Brussels cross with you in particular? 

Maybe their patience ran out with Hungary which they had since 2004.   (Leto’s remark: The Socialist-leftlib governments. which were in power between 2004 and 2010,  ran high budget deficits and that increased Hungary’s dept-to-GDP ratio from 54% to  80% in 2010).  Maybe Brussels wanted to set an example of Hungary and to increase fiscal prudence in the EU-member countries where budget deficits were slipping out of control.   One must also add that  it wasn’t in 2010 when the West learned who is who  in Hungarian politics. Washington couldn’t get over it already in 2002 how a little Eastern European country dared not to buy F-16 fighters instead of (Swedish) Gripens.

How did you dare?

That’s very simple:  The Americans made a worse offer than their competitors did.  Of course they kept telling us: if you buy a watch then you’ll buy a Swiss one, if you buy fighter planes then you’ll buy American.  Then they got surprised.  (Leto’s remark: this might be one of the reasons why PM Orbán hasn’t been invited to Washington since 2010 and why President Obama failed to congratulate Orbán for his landslide re-election.)

Are you saying Brussels took revenge and jeopardized Orbán’s plans because of a decade old Hungarian-American skirmish?

No, surely not. That was meant to be only an example that it was evident for the West already well before the 2010 elections it’s much easier to make deals with the ex-Communists, who turned into cosmopolitans from internationalists,  than with a patriotic government.  (Ex-Socialist prime ministers)  Gyurcsány, Bajnai, Medgyessy and their lot were considered  easy-to-deal-with in (Western) Europe and in the USA.  It never occurred to these people that they, as Hungarian leaders, are supposed to fight for Hungary’s national interests. They sold everything out on the cheap, including utility companies, Hungary’s airliner, our health care market, agricultural lands, what have you.  The only thing they had  in mind was that their  circles should benefit.    In addition, since we were not on good terms with neither liberal EU financial commissioner Olli Rehn or his Socialist predecessor ( Joaquín Almunia ) , Brussels deemed we wouldn’t deserve the leniency  Gyurcsány and Bajnai were treated with.

If the EU had given a green light about the budget deficit to Orbán then the “freedom fight” wouldn’t have started? 

There still would have been one but it would have been much quieter than what happened. But actually that’s not a big problem  because at least it was understandable  what we were forced to do and  what we had planned to do, more cautiously, anyway.  It would have been better to carry out the strategic change in Hungary’s economic and social policies with less noise because we didn’t mean to be adventurous. But we had to be.

What did you plan at the change of the government (in 2010) concerning IMF?  Did you mean to kick the global bankers out after a few months of “peacock’s dance” (Leto’s remark: that’s a reference to a bon mot of PM Orbán) in the first place or did you make the decision only later? 

It was evident from the very beginning that we didn’t want to tread the path IMF was demanding we should follow but that decision was made only later.

You said to the weekly Heti Válasz that you are “capable of being a soft, friendly teddy bear”. So why don’t you fight diplomatically, in a “teddy bear style”, and why do you need to rub the nose of the  world’s lords, or at least of the continent, that what you want is what is going to happen? 

Because that feels good.

That’s great.

That was certainly irony. Well, we’re humans, too.  Hypocritical, unworthy, selfish chappies manage the European Union, all respect should go to the exceptions.  The Brussels bureaucracy  lives off that they keep increasing their informal power over the member states while they are  trying to present their demands snuffling about never fully discussed European values.  So why should we talk to them in a different way than what it feels good?

Because the goal is not to relieve your mind, not to even  satisfy  Hungarians’ thirst for justness, but to improve things for us, citizens. 

I don’t think we should have sought the favours of Brussels with a humble face after their rough treatment. We must make evident for them, and for the Hungarian public, too, that we are no dummies, we fully understand what’s happening, we know the game and we are not going to skin our own people.  If they want to wage a war then they must  understand there’s firepower on the other side of the battlefield, too.

Can these be matched? 

Apparently yes. I think we have won the “freedom fight” but, to say the least, our positions have not been eliminated.  As a relatively small player in the international  (political) arena,  our weight has increased and at least we’re in play now.

It’s all quiet right now. Is this already peace?

We cannot know.  Maybe it’s only a truce.  They may have decided it’s not worth pressurizing us any more until the elections. You cannot ignore the fact that the majority of the active voters stayed behind us even during the most difficult times.  We couldn’t be simply swept away like some would have wanted,  even putting democratic means aside (Leto’s remark: that’s a reference to Charles Gati’s infamous interview, see also my post) .  Of course, they are not going to give it up and a new match is going to start in 2014.   On top of that,  the situation cannot be described like there’s peace in the world and some rebellious folks are stirring up trouble in the periphery…  On the contrary, the empire is crumbling, everything is changing, sometimes  the perspective is wider and sometimes it is narrower than before.   There is a real danger for them that the economic and social policies of the Hungarian government will gather followers.  More and more people see, and they speak up, too, that the fake liberal dogmas which ruled, and ruined, Europe in the last twenty years must be relegated to the garbage heap (of history).

 

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The future of the Left in Hungary

Let me make a little poll among my readers what you think is going to happen now after their second huge defeat of the so-called “Left” in the elections.

When you vote, please keep in mind what MSZP party manager Árpád Velez said to their activists in the campaign (on a leaked tape recording): „Making Orbán resign is not a goal, that’s a means. We want to govern so that we could pay our guys at last…”

 

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Wrong

The Hungarian voters were wrong, they made a very wrong decision

ex-Socialist prime minister Ferenc Gyurcsány said after his five-party “left liberal” alliance suffered a crushing defeat in the general elections for the second time.  Gyurcsány named his tiny party as “Democratic Coalition” and they call themselves “democrats” in almost each sentence they utter.

Ferenc Gyurcsány

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Who said what about today’s landslide Fidesz victory

The results of the elections are in a nutshell:

  1. It’s a huge, huge centre-of-right  victory! After four years in government,  FideszKDNP  seems to have been able to retain even the supermajority!  This still hangs in the balance though because of two constituencies where the votes are very close to each other.
  2. The postcommunist left-liberal “Change of Government” coalition (MSZP, Együtt, PM, DK,  Liberals) came in second and they managed to win in ten individual constituencies. Apart from a single election district in the city of Szeged, all of these are on the Pest side of Budapest.
  3. Radical right-wing Jobbik came in third and relatively close to the postcommunist alliance. Undoubtedly Jobbik forms a third political centre now.
  4. Green-liberal LMP managed to sneak into the Parliament with a 5.2 percent result.

 

MP seats in the new Parliament based on 93.53 percents of the votes

 

Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, seemingly quite moved,  thanked everybody who voted and especially those voters who supported his party.  He said that they worked hard for this result and God  will decide if they are worthy of it.  He emphasized that today Hungarians are the most united nation in Europe.  Referring to the postcommunist opposition, he said that Hungary rejected hatred and, hinting at Jobbik’s rhetoric, he said Hungary also rejected leaving the European Union.

MSZP chairman Mesterházy refused to congratulate PM Orbán to his victory because “the electoral system was flawed and strongly biased” and he was talking about “Fidesz-dictatorship”, an “illegitimate regime”, etc.  Let’s note that he said they’d get a supermajority, under the very same rules and these circumstances, a few months ago…

Ex MSZP PM Ferenc Gyurcsány, the leader of the extremist left-liberal party “Democratic Coalition“, said “Hungarian voters were plain wrong” and he pledged they’d get into power sooner than 2018.  He offered no congratulation to PM Orbán, “of course”.

Ex-MSZP PM Gordon Bajnai , the leader of Együtt-PM, was also whining about the electoral system.  He also refused to  congratulate PM Orbán.

Jobbik chairman Gábor Vona congratulated PM Orbán and pledged they’d win the next elections.

LMP chairman András Schiffer congratulated both PM Orbán  and  MSZP chairman Attila Mesterházy and he offered him co-operation in opposition.

 

I say those losers who were unable to offer the basic courtesy of congratulating the re-elected prime minister are very obviously (pathetic)  losers in the other sense of the word, too.

 

 

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When the sum of parts is more than the whole

One of the major political events in Hungarian politics in January was the formation of the “Összefogás” coalition which is a joint list of the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) and two newly formed “left liberal” parties…  founded by two ex-Socialist prime ministers (Gordon Bajnai and Ferenc Gyurcsány), plus some Alliance of Free Democrats (SZDSZ) leftovers like Gábor Fodor.

According to Tárki, a major Hungarian polling company, MSZP stood at 23 percents among the decided voters in January and both Bajnai’s Együtt-2014-PM party and Gyurcsány’s Demokratikus Koalíció were at 6 percents last month.  That’s 23+6+6=35 percents.

In contrast, the joint list of these three parties turned out to have 27 percent support in February.  Incidentally the 49 percent support for Fidesz has remained unchanged among decided voters, support for Jobbik increased to  19 percents from 14 and  LMP  (“Politics Can Be Different“) has also increased their voter support from 2 percent to 6.

They don't deserve another chance!

They don’t deserve another chance!

This news has made my day. Keep up the good work, please, and add some more splinter parties to the grand coalition!

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The rightist left-winger right-winger leftists…

Hungarian politics is simply often  absurd, so I could report on quite a few insane things from Hungarian politics…  Today’s surreal news is that Lajos Bokros , who was the Minister of Finance  in the post-communist Socialist-(left)Liberal government of PM Gyula Horn between 1995–1996 and who founded a one-man “right wing” party called Movement for a Modern Hungary ,  wants to join the post-communist  leftist Összefogás (“Unity”) party list of the Socialist Party (MSZP), the splinters from MSZP (ex-Socialist Gyurcsány‘s party and ex-Socialist Bajnai’s party, etc.) and the remnants of SZDSZ (an extreme left-liberal party which the Hungarian voters sent to its well-deserved political grave in 2010).

Bokros has been campaigning like this:

Have you had enough but you are not a leftist? Yes, it’s possible!
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