Somehow Huffington Post forgot to publish this figure which shows the time-dependency of their sophisticated mathematical model: 🙂
Somehow Huffington Post forgot to publish this figure which shows the time-dependency of their sophisticated mathematical model: 🙂
Posted by Leto مؤدّب on 09/11/2016
Today is the 15th anniversary of the terror attacks on the USA. What were the consequences of that fatal day most people remember? Yes, I also remember well that the 11th of September, 2001 was a Tuesday and what I was doing that day.
That Tuesday has ended Fukuyama’s “liberal democracies equal to the end of history” vision indisputably. It was the first big crack in Pax Americana. The USA was shocked to the core. The world was shocked, too. What would the giant do after the slap in the face? Well, the “War on Terror” could have been described quite well by the fundamental Hollywood revenge topos. It resulted in the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq and it resulted in the “Arab spring” when the still shaken superpower USA got rid of the Middle Eastern dictators in the name of “democracy”… But these Arab dictators were actually the guardians of stability in a region where liberal democracy simply could never work in lack of basic cultural and historic preconditions. Eventually 9/11 resulted in the bloodshed and anarchy we can witness today in the Middle East.
And, after years of anarchy and bloodshed, the population in the Middle East has decided (with lots of help and nudges from George Soros and Co., the puppet master of a possible USA president!) to go on a European hijra. And now we have terror in the streets of Europe.
And the disappearance of the Middle Eastern cordon sanitaire has opened up Europe to the depths of Black Africa, too. Of course, without PC liberalism, perhaps Europe could have withstood the waves from 9/11… But that’s another topic which I have written about several times.
Posted by Leto مؤدّب on 11/09/2016
Thank you for Bill Still for the English-subtitled video. Please check out his website.
The video starts playing where, as the first (and so far only?) incumbent leader in the world, he endorsed US Presidential Candidate Donald Trump.
However it’s highly recommended to watch the lecture in full!
Posted by Leto مؤدّب on 04/09/2016
The “freedom to carry guns”, that is the Second Amendment, the holy cow of US politics, is a pet topic for most Internet posters in the USA. Among others, a bog standard argument of theirs is that “firearms actually reduce violence because the criminals and terrorists may expect to be shot by law abiding citizens”. If one reads the news about the almost daily mass shootings in the USA then it’s quite obvious that this argument doesn’t hold much water. Though the readers should feel free to quote documented examples in the comments section where such citizen heroism actually happened!
Since I do like numbers, now let’s see some statistics about deaths caused by firearms.
Out of these, the rate is 3.43 for for homicides and it’s 6.69 for suicides.
That’s the highest figure (by far) anywhere in the developed world! Even neighbouring, infamously violent, third world country Mexico is doing better than the USA in this regard because their overall gun-related death rate is “only” 7.64. However the Mexicans do use their guns to kill other people and not to kill themselves. The homicides rate in Mexico is 6.34 and it is only 0.44 for suicides.
Now let’s compare this to the situation in the UK where there’s strict gun control. The firearm-related death rate per 100,000 population per year in the UK is 0.23. Yes, that’s 46 times less than in the USA. The rate for homicides in the UK: 0.06. That’s 57 times less than in the USA. The figure is 0.15 for suicides, that is 45 times less than for the USA.
These statistical figures are practically the same in Hungary as in the UK and our gun laws are also very similar to the ones in the UK. (Though, unlike in the UK, all our police are armed).
For comparison, the overall firearm-related homicide rate is well below 1.0 in each and every European country (with the notable exceptions of Montenegro and Cyprus).
It’s another common argument among the American “Second Amendment” Internet forum warriors (and among the “Second Amendment” journalists, aka gun salesmen) that “the USA would produce similar gun-death rates as Europe without the African Americans”. Let’s investigate this claim finally.
According to the FBI, “Of the offenders for whom race was known, 53.1 percent were black, 44.6 percent were white, and 2.3 percent were of other races”
Blacks make up 12.6 % of the population in the USA and Whites make up 72.4 %. The total population of the USA is 309 millions. So out of 10600 murders, say, 5000 murders are committed by Blacks. So if we removed them from the statistics altogether then 2.1 (5,600*100,000/(309,000,000*(1.0-0.126)) would be the murder rate figure in the USA instead of 3.43.
This figure is still a lot higher than the rate in nearly all European countries (with the sole exception of Balkanian Montenegro where the rate is 2.42.)
To cap it off, here is one more piece of information: As of today, 411 people have been shot in the iconic “gangster city” Chicago this year so far. The total number of homicides was 454. Yes, 90% of murders were committed with firearms. It’s so much easier to kill someone with a gun than with a knife.
Posted by Leto مؤدّب on 18/08/2016
It’s really nothing new that USA politicians are bashing Hungary. Last year Obama was worrying that “NGOs are harassed in Hungary like in Egypt or Putin’s Russia” and Sen. John McCain called PM Orbán “a neo-Fascist dictator who goes to bed with Putin”. What is new a bit that they do that in ‘two-in-one’ with our Polish friends. 🙂
Ex-president and aspiring First Lord Clinton said earlier that
Orbán wants money and to remain in power for good
and then he said this a few days ago:
Poland and Hungary, two countries that would not be free, but for the United States and the long Cold War, have not decided this democracy is too much trouble. They want Putin-like leadership. Just give me an authoritarian dictatorship and keep the foreigners out. Sound familiar?
That was a snub at Republican candidate Donald Trump, of course.
Maybe the Hungarian government should have just ignored Clinton’s latest insult and nonsense but Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó still quipped this way:
No one – not even former US President Bill Clinton – should feel he can insult Hungarians, the freedom of Hungary was achieved by the people of Hungary; tens of thousands of Hungarians sacrificed their lives for freedom. Therefore it is unacceptable for someone to belittle the fight for freedom of the people of Hungary in this manner.
Mr. Clinton must surely know that the people of Hungary have decided on Hungary’s future in democratic parliamentary elections. Mr. Clinton may not like the decision of the people of Hungary, but this cannot be sufficient reason for the former President to insult them like this.
Well, one can safely say that another Clinton in the White House wouldn’t be something to rejoice about for Hungary. So ….
Update: Daniel McAdams from the Ron Paul Institute has just published an excellent article on this. It also put Clinton’s words, and how Hungarians view them, into a historical context.
Posted by Leto مؤدّب on 18/05/2016
The mass sexual attacks on German women in Cologne and many other German cities (and, as later it turned out, there were similar incidents in Salzburg, Austria or Finland, etc. too) have been eye-opening for many people. However the biggest eye-opener was the fact that the whole German media, in unison with the German authorities, could cover up events of this importance and of scale for four full days! These events also revealed where the “progressives”, the politically correct feminists, etc. really stand.
Prime Minister Orbán said about today’s politically correct liberalism a few months ago:
[politically correctness uses] an anti-democratic, liberal language and that’s an ironic development because liberalism was once for freedom but now it stands for the opposite
Yes, modern liberalism is showing its true colours at last.
The politically correct liberal government of the Netherlands has been very vocal to condemn Hungary, and recently Poland, regarding freedom of speech, media laws, “checks and balances” and what-have-you. Now we have learned the Dutch cops are policing anti-migration comments. They are even threatening social media users by visiting them in their homes, only because they oppose government policies.
Unless people in the Western civilization, that is Europe, North America and Australia will wake up very soon and its citizens will vote accordingly, to preserve their identity, their way of life and culture, soon the lethal politically correct mix of “multiculturalism”, “anti-racism”, “gender theory”, “gay rights”, “feminism”, “anti-clericalism”, the constant accusations of “Islamophobia” or “anti-Semitism”, “Fascism”, besmirching patriotism and elevating cosmopolitanism will kill our Christianity-based civilization entirely.
Posted by Leto مؤدّب on 30/01/2016
Today’s news is that President Obama said at the Israeli Embassy in Washington DC that
when a statue of an anti-Semitic leader from World War II was planned in Hungary, we led the charge to convince their government to reverse course. This was not a side note to our relations with Hungary, this was central to maintaining a good relationship with the United States, and we let them know.
Yes, the president of mighty 320 million-strong superpower USA has boasted that he personally arm-twisted the prime minister of a small 10 million-strong Central European country so that a rural Hungarian city of 100,000 people shouldn’t erect a statue for a most eminent Hungarian historian and numismatics expert who was also a minister during WWII and who co-signed some anti-Jewish document with other legislators. No, the statue wasn’t a Hungarian government project but it was Prime Minister Viktor Orbán whom President Obama proudly arm-twisted so that he should pressurize the self-government of Székesfehérvár in order to cancel the plans for the statue. Yes, Obama has won.
This is the world we live in. It’s pretty much like in the days of the Soviet Union.
Posted by Leto مؤدّب on 28/01/2016
Today one does not even try to deny the fact in general public discourse that the Holocaust took place. However the lie, the very same lie for which [Holocaust denier British historian] David Irving went to jail, still resurfaces. It does only in a slightly modified form. Now, in accordance with modern trends, it’s proclaimed in order to relativize this singular event. The lie takes the form of arguing that it’s not only Germany which is responsible for the murder of Jews but other nations are, too. Mostly Poles, but also Hungarians, Latvians and Ukrainians. This transfer of responsibility to others is a way to justify that the Germans just went with the European trends of the 1930’s. But that’s a lie. Germans stoked anti-Semitism in Europe to the level of a genocide. It’s frightening that you have to fight for such an obvious truth .
Posted by Leto مؤدّب on 21/04/2015
From Russia to China to Venezuela, you are seeing relentless crackdowns, vilifying legitimate dissent as subversive. In places like Azerbaijan, laws make it incredibly difficult for NGOs even to operate. From Hungary to Egypt, endless regulations and overt intimidation increasingly target civil society
And Obama has let the (poor) cat out of the bag in the same speech. This sentence speaks for itself:
I believe America’s support for civil society [in foreign countries] is a matter of national security [for the USA].
In case somebody didn’t know, Obama included Hungary in that list because of the Norway Civil Fund … which is not so Norwegian after all. For more details about this matter, see my earlier post titled Epic fail.
No doubt the current USA leadership really wants their “liberal” stooges back in power, the postcommies who call themselves “democratic opposition”. Since Fidesz has been supported by about half of the decided Hungarian voters for quite a while, and the five or so “democratic parties” stand at less than 20% altogether, a “colour revolution” has got slim chances in Hungary. After the national elections in April and the European Parliament elections in May, Fidesz is going to win its third landslide election next week on the local elections.
Anyway, let’s see what Orbán said in a speech a few days ago, a few days before Obama’s speech.
No smaller task is ahead of us than trying to establish a new Hungarian state, independent of the taboo system of political correctness well-established in Western Europe, which would make our (national) community successful in the worldwide race. It’s important to note that the thoughts of Adenauer or Schuman, the great figures of Christian democracy, wouldn’t qualify politically correct in Eurospeak today. So Christian democracts must not be scared even if the high priests of the Liberal Sect demand our excommunication louder and louder. This way they would excommunicate the great figures of Christian democracy as well from European politics. The supporters of liberal democracy think something is either liberal democracy or it is not a democracy. They can do so only because they think what they represent is the exclusively right point of view. That is how the majority principle gets replaced with the principle of “kizárólagosság” and this is how the liberal and democratic principles become contradictory. [Leto’s remark: “kizárólagosság” means “exclusivity” but “absolutism” may be actually more appropriate in this context.]
The liberals defend themselves from the unpleasant feeling of being in the minority this way . This may be understandable from a psychological point of view but it’s absolutely not acceptable in a dispute about principles, values and eventually in a dispute about choosing political models.
The will of the majority is something you cannot circumvent in a democracy, in a European democracy. There are several acceptable forms of democracy. Democracy is not necessarily liberal and if something is not liberal then it may still be democracy. The liberals always want people believe one can choose only between two possibilities. One of the most important issues in the future is that we, Hungarians should avoid this dead end [Leto’s remark: that is this false dichotomy, black-and-white-thinking]. We must keep on agenda what democracy means in Europe. It’s imperative that we state that a political community may have other goals than realizing abstract principles and abstract trains of thoughts. Such goals could be ensuring one’s (biological) survival and defending one’s basic beliefs.
Our politics, what we followed in the recent years, also goes against the interests of political groups which are built on the taboo system of political correctness. So they are not choosey with the tools and methods they employ. If you don’t accept today’s monopolistic liberal value system then you’ll be a supporter of dictatorship and they will mention you together with China, Russia or Singapore. Of course they themselves know their claim is false since Hungary is an inseparable part of the West. Even Communism and the Soviet Union couldn’t uproot us from there. This is why we are a member of the European Union and NATO, too.
Posted by Leto مؤدّب on 03/10/2014
Today PM Orbán flew to the EU summit in Brussels and he gave a press conference. He stressed that the questions of principles must come first before choosing persons for the various positions . (German Chancellor Angela Merkel said before the summit that the latter type of decisions may not be brought today at all.)
Orbán insisted that taxation has to remain on the national level. Moreover he’d want to clarify if EU is willing to let member states to regulate energy prices on the national level. He added that it become a practice in the last five years that EU institutions, openly or covertly, reduced national powers and this has to be put to an end.
The member states are protecting their rights and if an imperial centre, like what Brussels is, want to breach them then that’ll generate conflicts. New European politics doesn’t need more conflicts, it needs more consensus.
Answering a question, he said the Hungarian government would nominate its EU commissioner when elected president Jean-Claude Juncker would officially request that. He added he had a discussion with Juncker prior to the summit. Commenting on the situation in Ukraine, Orbán said the sanctions against Russia must not proceed to the next (third) stage because that would not be in the interests of either Europe or Hungary.
The summit is mainly about haggling top jobs and that’s rarely a simple matter… However the deepening crisis in Ukraine makes the choice of a successor to British EU Commissioner Catherine Ashton, as head of the European External Action Service, an even more sensitive issue than usual since the USA has been pressing the EU recently to toughen sanctions against Moscow. The United States indicated yesterday they could go alone with increasing the severity of the sanctions against Russia. Poland and Baltic countries want a tough stance against Russia but Italy and Germany, which have major economic ties with Russia, are reluctant. So is Hungary.
Anyway, it sounds like Orbán is in combative mood… 🙂 Go, Viki, go!
Eastern EU countries were the main reason for the blockage. They argued that no decision could be taken on the two senior positions before they knew what portfolios would be assigned to “their” national commissioners.
Only the anti-Russia sanctions were extended somewhat Another extraordinary summit will be held on the 30th of August.
Posted by Leto مؤدّب on 16/07/2014